ments in Kiev certainly have the potential to turn into such a catastrophe, for they are not
just about Ukraine. Just as the Syrian civil war reflects a wider regional struggle between Iran and
Saudi Arabia for political and religious supremacy, Ukraine finds itself the luckless victim of much
bigger forces than its own internal divisions - centuries old East/West rivalries and ambitions.
Ukraine’s disgusting kleptocracy deserves to fail; genuine democracy and rule of law in this
brutalised nation would be an overwhelmingly positive development. Yet there is something
almost Napoleonic about the idealistic fervour with which Europe pursues its eastern ambitions.
That said, the forces that turned the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand into the greatest
conflict in history simply don’t exist today. Despite occasional sabre-rattling, the world is
generally better at muddling along together than it has ever been. The big, intra and inter-regional
conflicts of the last century are unthinkable.
ies it " Frederik Bostiak
WHAT IF Nassim Taleb's "Black Swans" were engineered by a
group of men - living together in society today - as a result
of information asymmetry? The whole thing is essentially a house of cards.
First published by Michal Grove @zaadz 10th March 2010